Contained in:
  • Eirene e Atena
  • Edited by Fulvio Attinà, Luciano Bozzo, Marco Cesa, Sonia Lucarelli
Book Chapter

Competizione e complessità nel sistema internazionale tra equilibri e caos

  • Rodolfo Ragionieri

The study of complexity in world politics began painstakingly in the 1980s on the initiative of authors such as James Rosenau, and looks at different types of complexity such as non-linear interactions, the interaction between actors at different levels (turbulence), the emergence of structures. The chapter intends to analyze the contribution the study of competition processes can provide by means of the theory of dynamical systems. For this purpose, nonlinear equations derived from Richardson's and equations formulated in the framework of population theories concerning crime or terrorism are considered. Finally, the need to move on to the theory of self-organization and emergent structures is indicated.

  • Keywords:
  • complexity,
  • dynamic systems,
  • stability,
  • chaos,
  • arms races,
+ Show More

Rodolfo Ragionieri

University of Sassari, Italy - ORCID: 0000-0001-5785-5657

  1. Albert, Mathias. 2016. A Theory of World Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  2. Alliggood, Kathleen T., Tim D. Sauer e James A. Yorke. 1996. Chaos. An Introduction to Dynamical Systems. New York: Springer.
  3. Arnold, Vladimir I. 1979. Equazioni differenziali ordinarie. Mosca: Mir.
  4. Axelrod, Robert. 1997. The Complexity of Cooperation. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
  5. Bertuglia, Cristoforo Sergio, e Franco Vaio. 2003. Non Linearità, caos, complessità. Le dinamiche dei sistemi naturali e sociali. Torino: Boringhieri.
  6. Bull, Hedley. 1977. The anarchical society: a study of order in world politics. London: MacMillan.
  7. Cioffi-Revilla, Claudio. 2014. Introduction to computational social science. London-Heidelberg: Springer.
  8. Costantino, R. F., J. M. Cushing, B. Dennis and R. A. Desharnais. 1995. “Experimentally induced transitions in the dynamic behaviour of insect populations.” Nature 375 (6528): 227-30.
  9. Dark, K. R. 1998. The waves of time: long-term change and international relations. London: Pinter.
  10. Devaney, Robert L. 1986. An Introduction to Chaotic Dynamical Systems. Menlo Park: Benjamin Cummings.
  11. Galilei, Galileo. 1970. Dialogo sopra i due massimi sistemi del mondo. Torino: Einaudi.
  12. Gori, Umberto. 1987. “Caos, ordine, complessità nelle relazioni internazionali.” In Disordine, ordine, gerarchia, 377-81. Bologna: DSE.
  13. Jervis, Robert. 1997. System Effects. Complexity in Political and Social Life. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
  14. Kaplan, Morton A. 1957. System and Process in International Politics. New York: John Wiley.
  15. Kaufman, Stuart J., Richard Little, and William C. Wohlforth. 2007. The balance of power in world history. New York: Springer.
  16. Kavalski, Emilian, edited by. 2005. World Politics at the Edge of Chaos: Reflections on Complexity and Global Life. Albany: State University of New York Press.
  17. Luhmann, Niklas. 1998. Die Gesellschft der Gesellschaft. Franfurt am Main: Suhrkamp.
  18. Mainzer, Klaus. 2007. Thinking in complexity: The computational dynamics of matter, mind and mankind. Berlin: Springer.
  19. Morgenthau, Hans J. 1985. Politics among nations: The struggle for power and peace. New York: Knopf.
  20. Nicholson, Michael. 1989. Formal Theory of International Relations. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  21. Nuño, Juan C., Miguel A. Herrero, and Mario Primicerio. 2008. "A triangle model of criminality." Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier 387, 12: 2926-36.
  22. Richards, Diana. 1993. “A chaotic model of power concentration in the international system.” International Studies Quarterly 37 (1): 55-72.
  23. Richardson, Lewis Fry. 1960. Arms and Insecurity: A Mathematical Study of the Causes and Origins of War. Pittsburgh: Boxwood Press.
  24. Rosenau, James N. 1989. Turbulence in World Politics: A Theory of Change and Continuity. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
  25. Rosenau, James N. 1997. “Many damn things simultaneously: Complexity theory and world affairs.” Complexity, global politics, and national security, edited by David S. Alberts, and Thomas J. Czerwinski, 32-43. Washington: National Defense University..
  26. Saperstein, Alvin M. 1984. “Chaos-a model for the outbreak of war.” Nature 309 (5966): 303-5.
  27. Saperstein, Alvin M. 1986. “Predictability, chaos, and the transition to war.” Bulletin of Peace Proposals 17 (1): 87-93.
  28. Saperstein, Alvin M. 2007. “Chaos in models of arms races and the initiation of war: Crisis stability and instability in an international system.” Complexity 12 (3): 22-6.
  29. Saperstein, Alvin M., and Gottfried Mayer-Kress. 1988. “A nonlinear dynamical model of the impact of SDI on the arms race.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 32 (4): 636-70.
  30. Schmitt, Carl. 1950. Der Nomos der Erde. Köln: Greven.
  31. Sinai, Yakov Grigor’evich. 1963. “On the foundations of the ergodic hypothesis for a dynamical system of statistical mechanics.” Doklady Akademii Nauk 153 (6): 1261-64.
  32. Sinai, Yakov Grigor’evich. 1970. “Dynamical systems with elastic reflections. Ergodic properties of dispersing billiards.” Uspekhi Matematicheskikh Nauk 25 (2): 141-92.
  33. Turchin, Peter. 2003a. Complex Population Dynamics. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
  34. Turchin, Peter. 2003b. Historical Dynamics. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
  35. Turchin, Peter. 2005. War and peace and war: The life cycles of imperial nations. New York: Pi New York.
  36. Waltz; Kenneth N. 1979. Theory of international politics. Reading, Mass.: Addison Wesley.
  37. Wendt, Alexander. 1999. Social theory of international politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  38. White, Douglas R. 2008. “Dynamics of Human Behavior.” SFI Working paper 2008-09-042.
  39. Wiberg, Håkan. 1990. “Arms races, formal models, and quantitative tests.” In Arms races. Technological and political dynamics, edited by Nils Petter Gleditch, and Olav Njolstad, 31-57. London: Sage.
PDF
  • Publication Year: 2022
  • Pages: 105-120
  • Content License: CC BY 4.0
  • © 2022 Author(s)

XML
  • Publication Year: 2022
  • Content License: CC BY 4.0
  • © 2022 Author(s)

Chapter Information

Chapter Title

Competizione e complessità nel sistema internazionale tra equilibri e caos

Authors

Rodolfo Ragionieri

Language

English

DOI

10.36253/978-88-5518-595-0.09

Peer Reviewed

Publication Year

2022

Copyright Information

© 2022 Author(s)

Content License

CC BY 4.0

Metadata License

CC0 1.0

Bibliographic Information

Book Title

Eirene e Atena

Book Subtitle

Studi di politica internazionale in onore di Umberto Gori

Editors

Fulvio Attinà, Luciano Bozzo, Marco Cesa, Sonia Lucarelli

Peer Reviewed

Number of Pages

208

Publication Year

2022

Copyright Information

© 2022 Author(s)

Content License

CC BY 4.0

Metadata License

CC0 1.0

Publisher Name

Firenze University Press

DOI

10.36253/978-88-5518-595-0

ISBN Print

978-88-5518-594-3

eISBN (pdf)

978-88-5518-595-0

Series Title

Studi e saggi

Series ISSN

2704-6478

Series E-ISSN

2704-5919

232

Fulltext
downloads

140

Views

Export Citation

1,361

Open Access Books

in the Catalogue

2,368

Book Chapters

3,870,371

Fulltext
downloads

4,536

Authors

from 943 Research Institutions

of 66 Nations

67

scientific boards

from 357 Research Institutions

of 43 Nations

1,249

Referees

from 381 Research Institutions

of 38 Nations