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Regional research intensity and ESG indicators in Italy: Insights from panel data models and machine learning

  • Alberto Costantiello
  • Margaret Antonicelli
  • Carlo Drago
  • Massimo Arnone
  • Angelo Leogrande

This study investigates the relationship between Research Intensity (RI) and a range of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) variables for Italian regions using machine learning algorithms and panel data models. The study seeks to identify the most predictive variables of research intensity from a range of cultural, environmental, socio-economic, and governance indicators. Support Vector Machine, Random Forest, k-Nearest Neighbors, and Neural Network algorithms are used to ascertain comparative predictive power. Feature importance analysis identifies education levels, in particular tertiary education qualifications, and technological infrastructure as most predictive of research intensity. Regional differences in research intensity are also investigated on the basis of political representation, healthcare accessibility, material consumption, and cultural investment variables. Results indicate that economically developed regions with sufficient research capacity are more research-intensive but can also face environmental sustainability and social inclusiveness issues. The study concludes that policy measures to enable education, technological innovation, environmental management, and governance improvement are required to spur research capacity in Italian regions. The study also provides insight into the use of research intensity in informing broader ESG objectives, including policy intervention for mitigating regional imbalances. Future studies should provide insight into the dynamic interaction effects of research intensity and ESG variables over time using more sophisticated machine learning techniques to further enhance predictive power.

  • Keywords:
  • Research Intensity,
  • ESG Factors,
  • Machine Learning,
  • Panel Data Models,
  • Italian Regions,
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Alberto Costantiello

LUM Giuseppe Degennaro University, Italy - ORCID: 0000-0002-0004-9635

Margaret Antonicelli

IULM University of Milan, Italy - ORCID: 0000-0001-8740-1058

Carlo Drago

Niccolò Cusano University, Italy - ORCID: 0000-0002-3920-0267

Massimo Arnone

University of Catania, Italy - ORCID: 0000-0002-5396-4431

Angelo Leogrande

LUM Giuseppe Degennaro University, Italy - ORCID: 0000-0003-1381-4006

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  • Anno di pubblicazione: 2026
  • Pagine: 153-157

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  • Anno di pubblicazione: 2026

Informazioni sul capitolo

Titolo del capitolo

Regional research intensity and ESG indicators in Italy: Insights from panel data models and machine learning

Autori

Alberto Costantiello, Margaret Antonicelli, Carlo Drago, Massimo Arnone, Angelo Leogrande

Lingua

Inglese

DOI

10.36253/979-12-215-1062-1.28

Opera sottoposta a peer review

Anno di pubblicazione

2026

Copyright

© 2026 Author(s)

Licenza d'uso

CC BY 4.0

Licenza dei metadati

CC0 1.0

Informazioni bibliografiche

Titolo del libro

Data, Statistics and AI for Well-Being of People and Organisations

Curatori

Luigi Fabbris, Alberto Franci, Pietro Renzi

Opera sottoposta a peer review

Numero di pagine

420

Anno di pubblicazione

2026

Copyright

© 2026 Author(s)

Licenza d'uso

CC BY 4.0

Licenza dei metadati

CC0 1.0

Editore

Firenze University Press

DOI

10.36253/979-12-215-1062-1

ISBN Print

979-12-215-1061-4

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979-12-215-1062-1

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979-12-215-1063-8

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Applied Statistics Series

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