- ReUso 2026 - New heritage and future strategies. Perspectives on conservation and promotion
- A cura di Alessandro Scarnato, Marisa García Vergara, Ángeles Layuno Rosas
From Damage Assessment to the Forecasting of Financial Requirements: A Mass Appraisal Model for Post-Earthquake Reconstruction
- Sebastiano Carbonara
- Davide Stefano
- © 2026 Author(s) |
- CC BY-NC-SA 4.0
- DOI: 10.36253/979-12-215-1113-0.17
The paper addresses post-earthquake reconstruction as an appraisal and public planning issue. In the Italian case, state intervention after the 2009 earthquake ensured cost coverage, but mainly through ex post mechanisms, without a structured forecast of financial needs. Only in 2024, with the establishment of the Reconstruction Fund (FOR), did a more stable perspective begin to emerge, although the issue of quantification remains unresolved. The international overview shows that funds, insurance schemes and mixed systems all require models capable of estimating economic exposure ex ante. Starting from the limits of current tools, which are mainly oriented towards damage classification, the paper proposes mass appraisal as an inductive method for moving from damage assessment to the forecasting of financial requirements, thereby providing support for public planning.
- Keywords:
- Post-earthquake,
- Reconstruction,
- Financial forecasting,
- Mass appraisal,
“Gabriele d’Annunzio” University of Chieti-Pescara, Italy - ORCID: 0000-0001-9234-5812
“Gabriele d’Annunzio” University of Chieti-Pescara, Italy - ORCID: 0000-0002-2683-0833
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Informazioni sul capitolo
Titolo del capitolo
From Damage Assessment to the Forecasting of Financial Requirements: A Mass Appraisal Model for Post-Earthquake Reconstruction
Autori
Sebastiano Carbonara, Davide Stefano
Lingua
Inglese
DOI
10.36253/979-12-215-1113-0.17
Opera sottoposta a peer review
Anno di pubblicazione
2026
Copyright
© 2026 Author(s)
Licenza d'uso
Licenza dei metadati
Informazioni bibliografiche
Titolo del libro
ReUso 2026 - New heritage and future strategies. Perspectives on conservation and promotion
Sottotitolo del libro
14th International Congress Barcelona-Girona, 4-7 November
Curatori
Alessandro Scarnato, Marisa García Vergara, Ángeles Layuno Rosas
Opera sottoposta a peer review
Anno di pubblicazione
2026
Copyright
© 2026 Author(s)
Licenza d'uso
Licenza dei metadati
Editore
Firenze University Press
DOI
10.36253/979-12-215-1113-0
eISBN (pdf)
979-12-215-1113-0
eISBN (xml)
979-12-215-1112-3
Collana
ReUso