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Behind the paradox “climate risk boosts economic performance”: Uncovering green business transformation. A mediation analysis on Italian firms

  • Lucrezia Macigno
  • Marco Pini

The aim of this paper is to analyze the impact of green investments on firms’ economic performance, by distinguishing between different types of green investments according to degree of business transformation: i) deep green investments aimed at improving the green business model, on the one hand; ii) simple green investments, that are not related to the business transformation. The results of the study show how deep green investments alone don’t have a direct positive influence on economic performance, however, since they impact the business model, they can have an indirect positive effect on performances. Indeed, firms undertaking deep green investments are more likely to put in place a series of initiatives targeted at green business transformation, such as appointing an environmental strategy manager or access to sustainable finance, that change the business model towards greater environmental sustainability. Moreover, the study investigates which risk factors influence the most firms’ decision to invest in greens, within the category of risks associated with climate change, showing how transition risk is the key driver of deep-green investments in contrast to the climate and physical risks.

  • Keywords:
  • green investments,
  • climate risks,
  • green business model,
  • mediation analysis,
  • Italian SMEs,
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Lucrezia Macigno

Centro Studi Guglielmo Tagliacarne, Italy

Marco Pini

Centro Studi Guglielmo Tagliacarne, Italy - ORCID: 0000-0003-4249-6932

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  • Anno di pubblicazione: 2026
  • Pagine: 273-277

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  • Anno di pubblicazione: 2026

Informazioni sul capitolo

Titolo del capitolo

Behind the paradox “climate risk boosts economic performance”: Uncovering green business transformation. A mediation analysis on Italian firms

Autori

Lucrezia Macigno, Marco Pini

Lingua

Inglese

DOI

10.36253/979-12-215-1062-1.48

Opera sottoposta a peer review

Anno di pubblicazione

2026

Copyright

© 2026 Author(s)

Licenza d'uso

CC BY 4.0

Licenza dei metadati

CC0 1.0

Informazioni bibliografiche

Titolo del libro

Data, Statistics and AI for Well-Being of People and Organisations

Curatori

Luigi Fabbris, Alberto Franci, Pietro Renzi

Opera sottoposta a peer review

Numero di pagine

420

Anno di pubblicazione

2026

Copyright

© 2026 Author(s)

Licenza d'uso

CC BY 4.0

Licenza dei metadati

CC0 1.0

Editore

Firenze University Press

DOI

10.36253/979-12-215-1062-1

ISBN Print

979-12-215-1061-4

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979-12-215-1062-1

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979-12-215-1063-8

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Applied Statistics Series

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